Trend busting

I never pay attention to anything other than the spreads when it comes to betting on college football.  Except this week.

For the first time, I ran across covers.com.  There’s a lot of information to drive you crazy, or maybe convince you which way to bet.

For example:

  • Tar Heels are 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
  • Tar Heels are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Pick your poison.  The current Clemson-UNC spreads have Clemson favored by 16 to 17.

Personally, I think we both should and are capable of winning by 20.  However, I’m predicting a final score of 34-20.

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